Wednesday, December 20, 2006

Dear readers,

This is my new blog page. It is meant to help me communcate with you. Since I am an economist teaching at the Department of Economics of Addis Ababa University, I would like to talk about Economics and Africa. Just visit my web page at www.Alemayehu.com and feel free to ask me if you have questions.

My graduate students and advisees may use this platform to post quesitons for myslef and your fellow students.

Cheers!
Alemayehu

30 comments:

solomon said...

Alemayehu
tell me how you got the courage of going back to Eth. I am a progressive academic with the rank of assistant professor, at the USA univ.I once contcated you while you were at Polocy institute in kenya and i was completing PhD in Public policy from the South African University. I like Ethiopia but I fear i will not be as effective as I would like to be.
Please share your thought on this.
Sincerely
Solomon

Alemayehu Geda said...

Hi Solomon. sorry for being late such blogs can not open in Addis and I just happen to be in London .Initially it was diffiuclt and my main reason is I hate the outside a lot more (than you, iguess). The most diffiult for me was housing. That forced me to go to Keny and get paid in a month what AAU pays me in 2 years. That allow me to buy a house in Addis. If you are hardworking economist there is a lot of work in Addis/Africa. The AERC (aercafrica.org) is also gives research grants to keep African economists in Africa. Cheers

Ashenafi said...

Alemayehu
I am just curious to know the real professional explanation of the recent surge in cost of living in Ethiopia? Can we say we have a healthy economy that can be sustained in the face of turbulent global phenomena?

Alemayehu Geda said...

Hellow Ashenafi. There are a number of causes for the recent infatioin. The main one is, in simple words, a huge government borrowing from the domestic market (money supply or printing) following the fall in aid after the 2005 failed election. Expectation about inflation follows as the second reason. If you are interesed in detail drop me an email I will sent you my latest research on it.

africa development Blog said...

Hi Alex,
How is everything going? i recently heard that we have faced an exchange rate crisis. Because of this companies like Coca cola are closing down. Is this problem the result of the financial crisis or is it something that we have been expecting to happen without the financial crisis and got worsened by it? I know that we have been running this huge trade deficit since God knows when.
Bili from den haag

Alemayehu Geda said...

Hi Bili good to hear from you. I just happen to be in Accra and saw your posts. You know those blogspots are not accessible in Addis thanks to our democratic internate! coming to the FX problem, we would have the problem even if the financial crisis was not there. it is long overdue. But the financial crisis is agagravating it. Remitance which about 2.5bln$ (1.5bl being informal) may fall by half - my estmiate; FDI and Aid may fall by at least 20% and so is export. So it is a disaster. we may have 1 month FX (about 800mln now). I am scared for the people. Hope my government is as scared as I am! I am just hoping.
cheers

menberegetachew2006 said...

sir, i had the honor of attending ur macroeconomics class last year at AAU.it was the most interseting class of all my study there.i don't think i ever met a person who reads as much as u do and rembers it as well, u'v inspired us to think outside the box and that we could make something out of ourselves, even in africa.this year i will be doing my masters thesis can you give me an advice on how to carry out the task, just give me a sort of guideline i should follow in order to do a good paper. this means alot to me. thanks in advance.

menberegetachew2006 said...

sir, i had the honor of attending ur macroeconomics class last year at AAU.it was the most interseting class of all my study there.i don't think i ever met a person who reads as much as u do and rembers it as well, u'v inspired us to think outside the box and that we could make something out of ourselves, even in africa.this year i will be doing my masters thesis can you give me an advice on how to carry out the task, just give me a sort of guideline i should follow in order to do a good paper. this means alot to me. thanks in advance.

Alemayehu Geda said...

Thanks Menbere for the nice words. I think the best way to do your thesis is to do 2 things: (a) work in area that you like most or an issue that puzzels you most. That way it will be a fun and work at the same time. 2nd thing to do is take courses in the first year relevant to the topic that you have in mind (even if it is in other MA/MSC programs). Collect from the web any relevant material over the year. In fact once you have identifed the topic I can also give you all materials I have. Bottowm line work hard and sleep less.
cheers
Alemayehu

Alemayehu Geda said...

Good news form AAU Press:
The two classic works of Gebre Hiwot Baykedagne are now publisehd as 'The Gebre-Hiwot Works' by AAU press. It includes an introduction by three people, myself included. It costs just 35 Birr (watch though for the wicked street venders in Addis who erase the 3 and write 8 instead and hence 85 birr as a price - buy it instead from book stores including AAU). The book became so popular and sold out in just 3 or so weeks but the AAU is going for the second print and must be out by now. In additon, yesterday was a one day symposium organied by the AAU press on Geber-Hiwot. I would say this was one of the best academic days I have enjoyed from down to dusk during my entire stay at AAU. AAU's best and brightest were there. It was chaired by no other than Desalegne Rahameto my personal hero and role model. The symposym looked at Gebre Hiwot's work form economic, political, historical, sociological and linguistic prespective and it was just amazing and fun. The AAU is going to publish the result of that symposym according to Dr Yeraswork of Sociology dept at AAU who was coordinating the symposium. Good work AAU Press and its Director Prof. Masresha and Dr Yeras.
Alemayehu Geda

rhett lund said...

LOL, nothing more to say

rhett lund said...

At least for the moment

Alemayehu Geda said...

I am going to give a lecture on Gebrehiwot today for economics students assocuation at our faculty, fbe building today at 2pm. The paper and hence thelecture is in Amharic. Everyone welcome.
Cheers

Alemayehu Geda said...

I am going to give a lecture on Gebrehiwot today for economics students assocuation at our faculty, fbe building today at 2pm. The paper and hence thelecture is in Amharic. Everyone welcome.
Cheers

Fikru Birara said...

u are brilliant witter in economics i give u my great admire continue...

Alemayehu Geda said...

Thank you very much Fikru
AG

Unknown said...

Ale, this is Max Pohan of Indonesia, your class mate at EPP, ISS.
Hope you still remember me.

Cheers, my friend,

Max

Unknown said...

Ale, this is Max Pohan of Indonesia, your class mate at EPP, ISS.
Hope you still remember me.

Cheers, my friend,

Max

(you can Google my name as well, and image too..)

Alemayehu Geda said...

My poems will follow:

Alemayehu Geda said...

ሙስና
መማለጃ ምንዳ ብጤ
ጠይቅ ውሰድ ንጠቅ አለኝ
ስጋዬ ከነብሴ አይሎ ባያሌው ተፈታተነኝ።
ህሊናዬ እረፍት አጥቶ አሳሬ እንዳይበዛ
ስጋዬን የማረከው ነገር ምነው ነብሴንም በገዛ።
አዲስ አበባ ህዳር 2002

Alemayehu Geda said...

ስሜ ተቀላቅሎ

ስሜ ተቀላቅሎ
አንዱ ዓለማየሁ ሌላኛዉ ገዳ ነዉ፡፡
ሁለተኘዉን ስም…….ገዳ የሚለዉን
ምን ዐይነት ነዉ ብዬ በበፊቱ መንግስት ስፈራዉ ነበረ
ተገለበጠና በዚህኛዉ መንግስት ኩራቴ ጀመረ፡፡
በሚመጣዉ መነግስት ሁለቱም ጥፋት ነዉ
ለካ የኔ ዉበት መቀላቀሉ ነዉ፡፡
============””==============
ሞምባሳ ትቅምት 2002[2009]

Alemayehu Geda said...

Two Political poems that I was scared of posting because I live in Ethiopia (but now with the new window of change, I think I can post them: see below

Alemayehu Geda said...

So these Poemes are from my unpublished Poem collection called:የወይን ግጥሞች

መቧደን ነዉ ስልቱ(ፖለቲካል ኢኮኖሚ 101)

ስልጣን ጫፍ ላይ ሆነህ ኑሮ ሲሳካልህ
ከትግራይ ስለሆንክ እንደያዉ ከመሰለህ
መንም አልገባህም ነፍሰህም አልረቀቀ
መቧደን ነዉ ስልቱ አለቀ ደቀቀ
እንዳዉ ልምሳሌ ሌላዉ ሁሉ ቀርቶ
የትግራይ ሰዉ ብቻ አመራር ላይ ቀርቶ
……………………….ምትቆይ ይመስለሃል?
አደዋ እነደርታ አጋሜ አዉላሎ ብሎ ይመጣልሀል፡፡
ሌላዉን የትግራይ ሰዉ ሁሉንም ተዉና
አደዋ ብቻ ነዉ ከስልጣን ላይ የለዉ ብለህ ብታስበዉ
የማ ሰፈር ልጅ ነዉ፡ የ..የሃ.. የ ምነትስ.. ወይስ የምነትስ›
………………………………..ብሎ ይመጣለሀል
ካዉራጃ ተነስቶ ወረዳ የወርዳል
ከወረዳ ወርዶ ከ መንደር ይዘቅጣል፤
የመቧደን ጡዘት መቼ በቅቶት የዉቃል፡፡

ስለዚህ ወንድሜ ያዉ እነደነገርኩህ
በጣም አለገባህም ነፍስህም አለረቀቀ
መቧደን ነወ ስልቱ አለቀ ደቀቀ፡፡
………………………..በ ነገራችን ላይ፤
ብዙ ለዉጥ አይመጣም ብትመጣም ከ ጎንደር፤
ደንቢያ ጎርጎራ፤ ወልቃይት ጸገዴ፤ ቋራ ማለተህ አይቀር፡፡

ብዙ ለዉጥ አይመጣም ስልጣኑን ቢሰጡህ
ቋንቋህ ኦሮሚኛ መሆኑ ተጣርቶ
ኮፈሌ ነህ ጎባ ጎሬ ነህ ነቀምቴ
ማለትህ አይቀርም እመነኝ በሞቴ፡፡
እኔ ደመሰለኝ ቁምነገሩ ያለዉ
ተማርክ የተባልከዉ ስልጣን ላይ ለመክረም
በሰብብ ባሰባቡ መቧደነህ ላይ ነዉ.፡፡

ኤርትራ ኢትዮጵያ፤ቀይ ሽብር ነጭ ሽብር፤
ክርሰቲያን ወይ ሙስሊም
ይህ ቋንቋ ያቋንቋ ይህ ሰፈር ያ ሰፈር፤
ብለህ ቡድን ፈጥረህ፤
በመቧደን ስልተህ ተክነህበታል
ዞር ብለህ ካየኸዉ ከጫፉ ደርሰሃል፡፡

የወጣተነትህን ዉቡን ራዕይህን
……………………………….. ፍፁም ረስተህ
የራበዉ ወገንህን ቀረጥ ብለህ አንቀህ
አረግክና አረፍከዉ…..
ዉስኪ ቪላ ድርያ የህይወት ግብህ
አንተም ግራ ገብቶህ ሰዉ ግራ አጋባህ፡፡

ነብስህን ስጋህን ከምታሰጨንከዉ፡
ምን አለ አንድ ቀን፡
ዲሞከራሲ ብለህ ….
የምር ተቀብለህ፤
ተቋማትን ፈጥረህ
አንተም ሳትሳቀቅ … በተራ ገዝተኽዉ
ይህንን ድሃ ህዝብ ሰላሙን ብትሰጠዉ፡፡
ይህንን ድሃ ህዝብ ዳቦዉን ብትሰጠዉ፡፡
,+++++++++++++//+++++++++++++++++
ሞምባሳ ትቅምት 2002[2009]

Alemayehu Geda said...

The Second Political Poem (quite relevant with coming of President Isayas to Ethiopia this week is:

የኤርትራና ኢትዮጵያ ጦርነት

ያክስቴ ልጅ በዚህ ያጎቴ ልጅ በዛ
እነሱ ሲዋጉ የኔ አሳሬ በዛ፡፡
ኤርትራ ኢትዮጵያ ብሎ ሁለት አገር
ሁለት ንጉስ ቢቻል ባልሰማንም ነበር፡፡
አንዳዉ ዘር ይሰላ ቢባል ይቀመር
መለስ የኤርትራ ኢሳያስ የኢትዮጵያ በሆኑ ነበር፡፡
ሁለት ንጉስ ባንዴ መንገስ ቢቻል ኖሮ
መገነጣጠሉ ይቀር ነበር ድሮ፡፡
ለማያዉቁን ቀርቶ በዉል ለሚያዉቁን
መለየት ችግር ነዉ ከኤርትራ እኛን፡፡
ሃይማኖታችን አንድ ቀለማችን አንድ
ድህነት ገፃችን
ጦርነት ፍቅራችን
አዕምሮቻን ብሩህ ልባቸን ሰባራ
ደርሶ ምን ይለያል ይሄ ከኤርትራ፡፡
እግዚአብሄር ብሎልን ወደፊት አንድ ቀን
ብሩህ የልጅ ልጆች የወለድን እንደሆን
አፍረዉ በወላጆች በድንቁርናቸዉ
አይቀርም አርም ነዉ መሰባሰባቸዉ፡፡
በግንጠላችን ላይ አንድነትን ፈጥረዉ
ባያታቸዉ አፍረዉ በራሳቸዉ ኮርተዉ፡፡
, ============””==============

አዲስ አበባ ትቅምት 2002[2009]

Alemayehu Geda said...

MY monthly commentary on Ethiopian Economy, which I take them as policy brief, are available in published form in Ethiopian Business Review magazine (EBR). EBR uncensored versions could be found at the following link. The latest Policy Brief is about : Eritrea and Ethiopian Peace deal its implication you may download it there
.
http://www.researchgate.net/profile/Alemayehu_Geda/

Alemayehu Geda said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Alemayehu Geda said...

My Poems continue: two of them for today

የከበደ ሚካኤል ብረድስትና ሸክላ ድስት

አንድ ቀን ቴሌችን አየር መንገድን አለዉ
(አንድ ቀን መብራት ሃይል አየር መንገድን አለዉ)
እኔን በሁሉም መልክህ የሚመስለዉ፡፡
ወንድሜ ነህ እኮ ባተዉቀዉ ነዉ እነጂ
ከዛሬ ጀምሮ እንሁን ወዳጂ፡፡
አየር መንገድ አለ… ቤት በኩል አሰብከዉ?’
ከጋራ አባት በቀር የት ስንገናኝ ነዉ፡፡
አንተ ታድለሃል ጭንቀትም የለብህም
የቴክኖሎጂ አድገትት አያሳስብህም
ያለምም ገበያ አያስጨንቀህም
ትንሽ ሰነፍ ሰትል ገፍተሮ አይጥልህም፡፡
ደንብኞችህ ሁሉ ታፍኖ አፋቸዉ
ካንተ ስር አይወጡም ዕጣ ሀኖባቸዉ
አያስፈራሩህም መሄጃ ሞልቷቸዉ፡፡
ስለዚህ ያባቴ ልጅ የኔን አትመኘዉ
መባትል ብቻ ነዉ ምንም መስነፍ የለዉ፡፡
አነተ ታድለሃል ሀሳብ የለብህም
መኖር ትችላለህ በትከሰርም በትሰነፍም
ካለም መጨረሻ ግልጋሎት ብትሰጥም፡፡
============//=================
ናይሮቢ ህዳር 2002 [Nov 2009]

Alemayehu Geda said...

The Second one:

ምኒሊክና ጣይቱ

ከሰማይ ቤት ሆኖ እምዪ ምኒልክ
ከፋዉ ዘገነነዉ
………..እሱ የገነባዉን ስንደዉ ያለልክ፡፡
ዘር አሳስቦት አያዉቅ ሃይማኖት ወይ ጎሳ
መሰልጠን ላይ ሆኖ የልቡ አበሳ::
ብለኋም ጣይቱም ባያሌዉ አዘነች
ገለባዉ ወገኗ
እሷ የሰራችዉን
በታትኖ ሲጥለዉ
…………………………ከላይ ሆና እያየች፡፡

============//=================
ሞምባሳ ታህሰስ 2002 [Nov 2009]

Alemayehu Geda said...

"PM Abiy and EPRDF need to think about Ethiopian Airline Again: There is no Sensible Economic Argument to Privatize Ethiopian Airline" . This is my latest article/ a policy brief on the political economy of Ethiopian (coming out soon on local news papers and business magazine. You may read the uncensored version at this link:

www.researchgate.net/profile/Alemayehu_Geda
cheers
Alemayehu

Alemayehu Geda said...


Please have a look at the following link for an Amharic article against privatization of the Ethiopian Airlines.

www.Researchgate.net/Profile/Alemayehu_Geda

Researchgate can't load the PDF version of the Amharic article.
Those who have amharic font can download the word file uploaded there.
Those who do not have amharic font may email me at ag112526@gmail.com for the Pdf version. (Hopefully this article will come out in one of the local papers/magazines soon)
Thanks